Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	8	3	5	3	-	1.93	2.75	1.23	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	-	4	1.43	1.93

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.8	2.88	6	1.12	1.36	1.91	-	-	-	-	1.2	4.5	2	1.85

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +30.0% | EV +57.7% | ROI +76.8% | n=306 | k=1.92

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +13.1% | EV +78.6% | ROI +82.4% | n=306 | k=6.00

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +11.7% | EV +22.3% | ROI +29.1% | n=306 | k=1.91

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +3.7% | EV +6.9% | ROI +22.7% | n=306 | k=1.85

AI-agent: At 48 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Lyon and Auxerre, the market shows increased support for a draw, with the odds dropping 28% from pre-match levels. Lyon remains more active in play and shots, but no clear sustained pressure from either side recently. Historical data on similar situations strongly favors the away handicap +1.5 with a 91.8% win rate and high ROI, though the current model's entry conditions are not yet met despite a strong edge and expected value. The top-4 markets suggest monitoring the away handicap +1.5 as the best option, but this is a watch scenario rather than a firm bet due to the match dynamics and entry rules. Caution is advised given the balanced tempo and scoreline.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 48