Match Replay

Step 55 of 63. Current minute: 83 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	11	6	5	5	-	2.5	2.05	1.24	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	1	-	-	-	3.9	1.75	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1	41	251	1.14	1.22	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.0% | EV +67.7% | ROI +94.1% | n=77 | k=2.05

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +41.8% | EV +104.5% | ROI +124.0% | n=77 | k=2.50

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -29.4% | EV -61.7% | ROI -100.0% | n=77 | k=2.10

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -38.9% | EV -68.1% | ROI -89.6% | n=77 | k=1.75

AI-agent: At the 83rd minute with Lyon leading 3-1 against Auxerre, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 39% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon's dominance is confirmed by shot statistics and sustained pressure in the final phase. Historical data for similar situations with a -1 handicap for Lyon shows a perfect win rate and high ROI, supporting the current model signal with a +33% edge and +67.7% expected value at odds of 2.05. Although the model suggests a bet on Lyon -1 handicap, no new position is opened as it is already covered in the portfolio. This is a favorable betting opportunity with controlled risk, while other markets like Lyon -1.5 show even higher potential but are on watch, and bets on Auxerre or double chance are not advised due to negative expected returns.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 83