Match Replay

Step 57 of 63. Current minute: 86 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	12	6	6	5	-	2.5	2.05	1.24	-	-
Away	1	0	0	7	1	6	1	-	-	-	3.9	1.75	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1	51	401	1.14	1.22	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.1% | EV +67.8% | ROI +97.2% | n=81 | k=2.05

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +41.9% | EV +104.7% | ROI +131.5% | n=81 | k=2.50

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -29.5% | EV -61.9% | ROI -100.0% | n=81 | k=2.10

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -39.0% | EV -68.3% | ROI -92.6% | n=81 | k=1.75

AI-agent: At the 86th minute with Lyon leading 3-1 against Auxerre, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 36% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon's dominance in shots confirms their advantage, although recent minutes show no sustained pressure from either side. Historical data supports a home handicap -1 bet with a perfect win rate and high ROI, and the model confirms a strong edge of +33.1% and expected value of +67.8%. The best betting option is to back Lyon on AH -1 at odds of 2.05, but since this position is already covered in the portfolio, no new bet is recommended now. This is a controlled opportunity with clear risk parameters, while other markets suggest monitoring rather than entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 86