Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	12	6	6	5	-	6.8	2.05	1.24	-	-
Away	2	0	0	9	2	7	2	-	-	-	3.9	1.75	1.1

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.03	15	351	1.14	1.22	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.6% | EV +32.0% | ROI +4.3% | n=51 | k=2.05

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -21.5% | EV -37.7% | ROI -4.9% | n=51 | k=1.75

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -28.3% | EV -59.5% | ROI -91.8% | n=51 | k=2.10

AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Lyon leading 3-2 against Auxerre, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 38% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon's dominance in shots confirms their advantage, though Auxerre has applied pressure late in the game. Historical data for a -1.5 handicap on Lyon is weak and shows negative ROI, so caution is advised. The best model suggestion is a -1.5 handicap on Lyon with a good edge and expected value, but the betting window for this market closed after the 86th minute. Current top-4 market signals recommend watching the -1 handicap on Lyon as a moderate edge opportunity, but no firm bet is advised at this stage due to risk considerations.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 90