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France | Ligue 1 | Lyon - Auxerre | 25.04.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 70'   —   Lyon 3:1 Auxerre
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 3 0 0 10 5 5 5 - 2.5 2.05 1.24 - -
Away 1 0 0 3 1 2 1 - - - 3.9 1.75 1.5
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.01 23 81 1.01 1.01 23 - - - - - - - -
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +41.4% | EV +103.5% | ROI -47.4% | n=176 | k=2.50
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.6% | EV +66.8% | ROI -20.6% | n=176 | k=2.05
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -38.5% | EV -67.4% | ROI +32.6% | n=176 | k=1.75
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -48.0% | EV -72.1% | ROI +18.5% | n=176 | k=1.50
AI-agent: At the 70th minute with Lyon leading 3-1 against Auxerre, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 39% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon's dominance in shots supports this advantage, although recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not confirm a profitable bet, despite the model indicating a positive edge and expected value for a -1 handicap on Lyon. The top-4 market signals recommend watching the -1 and -1.5 handicaps due to negative ROI history, making this a monitoring opportunity rather than a clear betting entry. Caution is advised given the mixed signals and historical performance.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 70