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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	10	5	5	5	-	2.5	2.05	1.24	-	-
Away	1	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	3.9	1.75	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	23	81	1.01	1.01	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +41.4% | EV +103.5% | ROI -47.4% | n=176 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.6% | EV +66.8% | ROI -20.6% | n=176 | k=2.05

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -38.5% | EV -67.4% | ROI +32.6% | n=176 | k=1.75

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -48.0% | EV -72.1% | ROI +18.5% | n=176 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At the 70th minute with Lyon leading 3-1 against Auxerre, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 39% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon's dominance in shots confirms their advantage, although there is no sustained pressure recently. The current gameplay aligns well with their previous encounter, which ended 0-0, but detailed scoring times are unavailable, making historical checks weak. The model signals a potential bet on Lyon with a -1 handicap at odds of 2.05, showing a positive edge and expected value. However, due to the weak historical ROI, this is a watch situation rather than a firm betting recommendation. Risk control suggests monitoring the AH_HOME-1 and AH_HOME-1.5 lines, both showing positive edges but negative ROI historically, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 70