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France | Ligue 1 | Lyon - Auxerre | 25.04.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 86'   —   Lyon 3:2 Auxerre
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 3 0 0 12 6 6 5 - 5.75 1.45 1.24 - -
Away 2 0 0 7 1 6 2 - - - 3.9 2.8 1.14
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.05 11 151 1.14 1.22 2.1 - - - - - - - -
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.0% | EV +67.1% | ROI -92.6% | n=81 | k=2.80
2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.5% | EV -14.1% | ROI +131.5% | n=81 | k=5.75
3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -28.6% | EV -41.5% | ROI +97.2% | n=81 | k=1.45
4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -25.5% | EV -53.6% | ROI -100.0% | n=81 | k=2.10
AI-agent: At the 86th minute with Lyon leading 3-2 against Auxerre, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, reflected by a 36% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon's dominance in shots confirms their advantage, though recent minutes lack sustained pressure from either team. Historical data for the away handicap +1 is weak and shows a significant negative ROI, indicating caution. The model highlights AH_AWAY+1 as a potential value bet with a 24% edge and 67.1% expected value, but entry conditions are not met due to the current match dynamics. Overall, this is a watch situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, emphasizing risk control given the mixed signals and historical underperformance of this market.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 86