Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	1.68	1.75	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	-	2.05	2.15

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.18	6.5	15	1.03	1.11	4.5	-	-	1.07	9	1.36	3.2	2.1	1.73

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.1% | EV +63.3% | ROI +62.3% | n=122 | k=4.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.5% | EV +3.1% | ROI +37.5% | n=122 | k=2.15

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.8% | EV +3.1% | ROI -9.0% | n=122 | k=1.75

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +2.8% | ROI -21.3% | n=122 | k=3.20

AI-agent: At 23 minutes into the Rennes vs Nantes match, Rennes leads 1-0, but the market pressure is shifting towards Nantes with odds dropping 20% from pre-match levels. Despite the scoreline, shot data does not clearly favor either side, and recent play shows no sustained dominance. Historical data for similar situations supports a double chance on Nantes (X2) with a strong ROI of 62.3% and an edge of +14.1%, though the model has not triggered a bet due to current match dynamics. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a firm betting opportunity, so caution is advised despite the promising expected value on Nantes to avoid loss of control.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387975 | minute: 23