Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	9	4	5	2	-	2.25	4.1	1.26	-	-
Away	1	0	0	11	5	6	5	-	-	-	3.7	1.23	1.62

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.1	2.3	6.5	1.11	1.53	1.67	-	-	-	-	1.4	2.85	2.85	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +28.8% | EV +46.8% | ROI +46.1% | n=89 | k=1.62

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +12.4% | EV +20.6% | ROI +27.3% | n=89 | k=1.67

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.6% | ROI +24.9% | n=89 | k=2.85

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -2.7% | ROI -0.9% | n=89 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At the 65th minute with the score tied at 1-1 between Rennes and Nantes, the market is favoring a draw, with odds dropping 49% from pre-match levels. Although Rennes started as favorites, Nantes currently leads in shots and shows more activity, reflecting a balanced tempo without sustained pressure from either side. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1.5, with an 89.9% win rate and a 46.1% ROI over 89 similar matches. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1.5 as the best option with a 28.8% edge and 46.8% expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet met based on current score and match dynamics. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, and risk control should be maintained given the balanced play and market signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387975 | minute: 65