Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	8	3	5	3	-	2.25	1.75	1.3	-	-
Away	1	0	0	15	7	8	5	-	-	-	3.45	2.05	1.62

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.4	2	7	1.1	1.73	1.5	-	-	-	-	1.61	2.3	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.4% | EV +82.8% | ROI +82.8% | n=84 | k=2.05

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +29.2% | EV +47.5% | ROI +52.8% | n=84 | k=1.62

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +9.4% | EV +14.1% | ROI +26.8% | n=84 | k=1.50

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.8% | ROI +39.6% | n=84 | k=2.30

AI-agent: At the 76th minute, the score is tied 1-1 between Rennes and Nantes. The market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 56% from pre-match levels considering the current score. Although Rennes started as favorites, Nantes has had more shots and is applying pressure in this phase, showing more activity than in their last meeting. Historical data supports a strong advantage for Nantes with an Asian Handicap +1, showing a 93.4% win rate and an 82.8% ROI over 84 matches. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 as the best bet with a 40.4% edge and 82.8% expected value, but the entry criteria based on current match dynamics are not yet met. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring this handicap and related bets rather than placing a mandatory wager now, emphasizing cautious observation rather than immediate action.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387975 | minute: 76