Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	9	5	4	2	-	2.42	1.6	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	-	2.75	2.3	1.52

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.3	4.75	13	1.04	1.17	3.4	-	-	1.25	4	2.1	1.7	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.8% | EV +26.4% | ROI +37.6% | n=467 | k=3.40

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.1% | EV +11.7% | ROI +25.6% | n=467 | k=2.30

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +1.5% | EV +7.1% | ROI +29.2% | n=467 | k=4.75

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -4.9% | EV -7.5% | ROI +11.4% | n=467 | k=1.52

AI-agent: At halftime in Auxerre's 1-0 lead over Angers, the market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 40% from pre-match levels, reflecting their shot dominance and pressure in recent minutes. Historical data shows a 40.5% chance for a draw or away win in similar situations, with a solid ROI of 37.6%, confirming the model's edge. The best current bet is double chance X2 at 3.40 odds, offering a 7.8% edge and 26.4% expected value, but entry conditions based on score and match tempo are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, with risk control favoring caution despite promising statistics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 45