Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	9	5	4	2	-	1.7	2.38	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	-	2.75	1.55	2.1

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.11	8	29	1.01	1.08	6.5	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.95	1.9	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.0% | EV +57.1% | ROI -3.4% | n=467 | k=2.38

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.3% | EV +9.0% | ROI +53.3% | n=467 | k=2.10

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -3.6% | ROI +8.6% | n=467 | k=1.90

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.0% | EV -3.9% | ROI -16.5% | n=467 | k=1.95

AI-agent: At halftime, Auxerre leads 1-0 against Angers, reflecting their current dominance in shots and pressure. The market strongly favors Auxerre, with odds dropping by 40% from pre-match levels, confirming their advantage. However, historical data for similar handicap bets (AH_HOME-1) shows a negative ROI and fails the confidence check, despite the model indicating a positive edge and expected value. Given this, the best approach is to watch the AH_HOME-1 market closely rather than place a bet now, as the entry conditions are not fully confirmed. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 45