Match Replay

Step 51 of 64. Current minute: 76 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	16	9	7	3	-	1.9	2.38	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	4	-	-	-	2.75	1.55	1.95

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1	41	301	1.18	1.25	1.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.08	8

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.2% | EV +95.5% | ROI +135.0% | n=55 | k=2.38

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +29.7% | EV +56.4% | ROI +86.5% | n=55 | k=1.90

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -33.6% | EV -65.6% | ROI -96.5% | n=55 | k=1.95

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -34.7% | EV -66.3% | ROI -100.0% | n=55 | k=1.91

AI-agent: At the 76th minute with Auxerre leading 3-0 against Angers, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 44% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Auxerre confirms their dominance with more shots on goal, although recent pressure has been less consistent. Historical data for similar situations shows a perfect record for the home handicap -1 bet, with 54 wins out of 55 matches and an excellent ROI of 135%. The model confirms a strong edge of +40.2% and expected value of +95.5% for the AH_HOME-1 bet at odds of 2.38. However, no new bet is opened as this position is already held or covered in the portfolio. This is a clear opportunity to consider the AH_HOME-1 bet with risk control, while other markets like AH_HOME-1.5 are watch-only and away or double chance bets are not recommended due to negative expected returns.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 76