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France | Ligue 1 | Auxerre - Angers | 03.05.2026 | 20:15:00 | HT   —   Auxerre 1:0 Angers
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 11 6 5 3 - 1.62 2.38 1.43 - -
Away 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 - - - 2.75 1.55 2.25
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.08 9 34 1 1.07 8 - - 1.22 4.33 2.02 1.82 4.33 1.22
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.3% | EV +62.5% | ROI -3.4% | n=467 | k=2.38
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.7% | EV +12.9% | ROI +64.3% | n=467 | k=2.25
3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.1% | EV -3.8% | ROI +4.3% | n=467 | k=1.82
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.1% | EV -4.2% | ROI -13.3% | n=467 | k=2.02
AI-agent: At halftime, Auxerre leads Angers 1-0, reflecting the match dynamics with Auxerre showing stronger pressure and more shots. The market has shifted significantly in favor of Auxerre, with odds dropping 40% from pre-match levels. Historical data for a -1 handicap on Auxerre is weak and shows a negative ROI, so the model has not opened a bet despite a positive edge and expected value. The top markets suggest watching the -1 handicap on Auxerre due to the model's edge but advise caution given the historical performance. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet entry, emphasizing risk control in the current context.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 45