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France | Ligue 1 | Auxerre - Angers | 03.05.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 47'   —   Auxerre 1:0 Angers
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 12 6 6 3 - 1.6 2.38 1.43 - -
Away 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 - - - 2.75 1.55 2.3
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.07 9.5 41 1 1.06 9 - - 1.22 4.33 2.05 1.8 4.33 1.22
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.9% | EV +63.9% | ROI -1.0% | n=472 | k=2.38
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +6.8% | EV +15.7% | ROI +65.7% | n=472 | k=2.30
3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.2% | EV -4.0% | ROI +9.1% | n=472 | k=1.80
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.1% | EV -4.3% | ROI -19.2% | n=472 | k=2.05
AI-agent: At 47 minutes, Auxerre leads 1-0 against Angers with no red cards. The market strongly favors the home side, reflected in a 40% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming Auxerre's dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data on similar situations is weak and does not support opening a bet despite the model indicating a positive edge of +26.9% and EV of +63.9% on the home -1 handicap at odds of 2.38. Given the historical ROI is negative and the TOP-4 markets suggest watching rather than betting, this is a monitoring scenario rather than a clear entry opportunity. Caution is advised due to the lack of confirmed historical backing despite promising model signals.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 47