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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	8	3	5	4	-	2.75	2.05	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	-	1.8	1.43

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.53	3.5	8.5	1.07	1.28	2.38	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.73	2.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +21.7% | EV +51.6% | ROI +58.3% | n=279 | k=2.38

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.1% | EV +21.8% | ROI +45.1% | n=279 | k=1.80

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.5% | EV +12.4% | ROI +10.4% | n=279 | k=3.50

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.0% | ROI +30.8% | n=279 | k=1.42

AI-agent: At 41 minutes into the Lille vs Le Havre match, the score is tied 1-1 with no red cards. The market shows strong support for a draw, with the odds dropping 26% from pre-match levels, reflecting Lille's dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data supports a double chance on X2 (draw or away win) with a 66.7% success rate and a positive ROI of 58.3%. Although the model indicates a favorable edge (+21.7%) and expected value (+51.6%) for X2 at odds of 2.38, the entry conditions based on current score and match dynamics are not yet met, so this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Risk control suggests monitoring the game closely before committing to a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387978 | minute: 41