Match Replay

Step 21 of 59. Current minute: 36 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	7	2	5	3	-	2.42	1.7	1.6	1.35	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	-	-	3.1	2.3	2.1	1.52

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	4.5	9.5	1.06	1.18	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.17	5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +2.4% | ROI +196.5% | n=129 | k=5.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +1.8% | EV +5.3% | ROI +111.2% | n=129 | k=3.00

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.2% | EV +4.6% | ROI +69.1% | n=129 | k=2.10

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +13.1% | EV +17.7% | ROI -17.1% | n=129 | k=1.35

AI-agent: At 36 minutes in the Lyon vs Rennes match, Lyon leads 2-1 with no red cards yet. The market shows increased confidence in the home side, with odds dropping 35% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current lead and pressure in recent play. However, shot statistics do not clearly favor either team, and the game balance remains fairly even despite Lyon's more active approach compared to their last meeting. Historical data on similar handicap bets (+1 for Lyon) is weak and shows a negative ROI, so the model has not triggered a confirmed entry despite a positive edge and expected value. Current top markets suggest watching rather than betting, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a strong recommendation to enter. Caution is advised as the historical performance does not fully support the bet despite promising model signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 36