Match Replay

Step 45 of 59. Current minute: 78 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	4	0	0	13	7	6	6	-	1.21	1.95	1.6	1.35	-
Away	2	0	0	7	5	2	5	-	-	3.1	2.3	1.9	4.25

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	21	67	1	1.01	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.4% | EV +63.2% | ROI +95.0% | n=7 | k=1.95

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.5% | EV +22.3% | ROI +35.0% | n=7 | k=1.35

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -4.0% | EV -16.9% | ROI -100.0% | n=7 | k=4.25

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -22.9% | EV -70.9% | ROI -100.0% | n=7 | k=3.10

AI-agent: At 78 minutes with Lyon leading 4-2 against Rennes, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 52% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon has been more active in shots and is applying pressure in the recent phase, matching the scoreline well. Historical data for similar situations is limited and does not fully validate the model's signal, which suggests a home handicap -1 bet with a promising edge of +32.4% and expected value of +63.2%. However, since the historical sample is too small, this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Risk management advises monitoring this opportunity closely without mandatory entry at this stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 78