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France | Ligue 1 | Lyon - Rennes | 03.05.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 36'   —   Lyon 0:1 Rennes
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 5 0 5 3 - - - 2.75 1.35 -
Away 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 - - 3.1 1.43 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
3.75 3.5 1.95 1.73 1.28 1.25 - - 1.1 7 1.5 2.62 2.5 1.53
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.1% | EV -3.4% | ROI +24.2% | n=129 | k=3.10
2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.9% | EV -1.4% | ROI +1.0% | n=129 | k=1.53
3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.4% | EV -3.7% | ROI +9.9% | n=129 | k=2.62
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.4% | EV -5.1% | ROI -12.8% | n=129 | k=1.50
AI-agent: At 36 minutes, Rennes leads Lyon 1-0 in this Ligue 1 match. Market pressure is shifting towards the home side, with odds dropping 35% from pre-match levels considering the current score, though shot data does not clearly favor either team. The hosts are more active than in their previous meeting, while Rennes is performing below their usual standard. Historical data supports a double chance on Rennes (X2) with an 84.5% success rate and positive ROI, but the model's edge is currently negative and below the threshold for a confident bet. Top-4 markets also indicate no value bets at this stage, so this situation is best monitored rather than acted upon immediately.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 36