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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	0	5	3	-	-	-	1.57	1.35	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	-	3.1	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.25	3	3.4	1.3	1.36	1.57	-	-	1.17	5	1.12	6	1.57	2.35

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +3.6% | EV +12.3% | ROI +89.8% | n=129 | k=3.40

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.2% | ROI +32.7% | n=129 | k=1.57

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.4% | EV +3.2% | ROI -17.1% | n=129 | k=1.35

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.7% | EV -4.1% | ROI +151.2% | n=129 | k=6.00

AI-agent: At 36 minutes, Rennes leads Lyon 1-0 in this Ligue 1 match. Market pressure is shifting towards the home side, with odds dropping 35% from pre-match levels considering the current score, but shot data does not clearly favor either team. Rennes holds the lead, yet Lyon is applying more pressure recently, showing increased activity compared to their last meeting. Historical data supports a Rennes win with a 55.8% probability and strong ROI, but the model's edge at +3.6% is below the threshold for a confident bet. This is a watch situation rather than a firm betting opportunity, so caution is advised given the current dynamics and risk profile.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 36