Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.67	1.45	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.67	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	3.75	1.95	1.73	1.25	1.25	1.03	15	1.2	4.5	1.61	2.3	2.5	1.53

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +6.2% | EV +22.4% | ROI +25.3% | n=655 | k=3.60

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.3% | ROI +9.4% | n=655 | k=1.73

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.9% | EV -1.3% | ROI -0.1% | n=655 | k=1.53

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.8% | EV -4.2% | ROI -1.3% | n=655 | k=2.30

AI-agent: At 5 minutes into the Nantes vs Marseille match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market signals are neutral with no strong odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced pressure and no clear dominance in shots or tempo. Historical data from 655 similar matches shows a 34.8% chance for a home win with a positive ROI of 25.3%, supporting a potential bet on Nantes to win at odds of 3.60 and an edge of +6.2%. However, the model advises caution as the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not yet met, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. The best value lies in a home win, but risk control suggests waiting for stronger confirmation before placing a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 5