Match Replay

Step 64 of 71. Current minute: 87 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	16	5	11	7	-	1.7	1.3	2.75	1.5	-
Away	0	0	0	13	5	8	6	-	-	2.5	1.43	3.45	2.1

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.8	3.9	1.9	1.8	1.22	1.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	3.1	1.38

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +62.1% | EV +236.1% | ROI +280.0% | n=19 | k=3.80

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +37.0% | EV +66.7% | ROI +80.0% | n=19 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.9% | EV +38.9% | ROI +50.0% | n=19 | k=1.50

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.1% | EV +3.6% | ROI +70.0% | n=19 | k=1.70

AI-agent: At the 87th minute with Nantes leading 3-0 against Marseille, the market shows no strong signals or significant odds drop from pre-match levels. Shots data do not clearly favor either side, though Marseille has applied pressure recently. Historically, similar situations strongly favored the home team with a 100% win rate, but the sample size is too small for a reliable conclusion. The model identifies a strong edge for a home win with an EV of +236.1%, but the betting window for this market has closed after the 86th minute. Current top-4 market options suggest monitoring rather than active betting, emphasizing risk control given the late stage and scoreline.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 87