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Match Replay

Step 65 of 71. Current minute: 89 .
France | Ligue 1 | Nantes - Marseille | 02.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 89'   —   Nantes 3:0 Marseille
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 3 0 0 15 5 10 7 - 1.7 1.3 2.75 1.5 -
Away 0 0 0 12 4 8 6 - - 2.5 1.43 3.45 2.1
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
3.8 3.9 1.9 1.8 1.22 1.22 - - - - - - 3.65 1.27
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | HOME | Edge +62.1% | EV +236.1% | ROI +280.0% | n=18 | k=3.80
2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +37.0% | EV +66.7% | ROI +80.0% | n=18 | k=1.80
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.9% | EV +38.9% | ROI +50.0% | n=18 | k=1.50
4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.1% | EV +3.6% | ROI +70.0% | n=18 | k=1.70
AI-agent: At the 89th minute with Nantes leading 3-0 against Marseille, the market shows no strong signals or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. The match has been fairly balanced, though Nantes has been more active in shots, with Marseille pressing in the final phase. Historical data for similar situations is limited and thus weak, despite a perfect record for home wins in smaller samples. The model favors a home win with a strong edge and expected value, but the betting window for this outcome has closed after the 86th minute. Current top-4 market indicators suggest watching rather than betting now, emphasizing risk control and monitoring rather than mandatory entry.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 89