Match Replay

Step 27 of 63. Current minute: 42 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	5	-	-	2.42	2.25	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	-	-	1.62	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.67	3.6	5.5	1.14	1.25	2.1	-	-	1.17	5	1.75	2.05	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.6% | ROI +7.7% | n=491 | k=2.05

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.0% | EV +1.4% | ROI +2.6% | n=491 | k=1.33

3) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +3.5% | ROI -10.4% | n=491 | k=5.00

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.2% | ROI -7.1% | n=491 | k=1.52

AI-agent: At 42 minutes, Strasbourg leads 1-0 against Toulouse in a closely contested Ligue 1 match. The market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 21% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Toulouse has been more active in shots, but Strasbourg is applying pressure in the latest phase. Historical data supports betting under 3.5 goals with a 77% win rate and a modest positive ROI, though the model's edge of +1.0% is below the threshold for opening a bet. Top-4 markets suggest watching under 2.5 or 3.5 goals with slight positive expected value, indicating a monitoring situation rather than a firm betting opportunity. Caution is advised given the balanced tempo and the current score not fully reflecting game dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 42