Match Replay

Step 28 of 63. Current minute: 42 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	5	-	-	2.42	2.25	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	-	-	1.62	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.4	2.75	2.5	1.5	1.4	1.3	-	-	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.88	1.98

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.2% | EV +38.5% | ROI -7.1% | n=491 | k=1.52

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +5.3% | EV +17.9% | ROI -1.9% | n=491 | k=3.40

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +3.5% | EV +7.0% | ROI +2.6% | n=491 | k=1.98

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +4.2% | ROI +7.7% | n=491 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At 42 minutes with the score tied 1-1, the market shows increased confidence in a draw, with odds dropping 21% from pre-match levels. The game has been balanced, though Toulouse has been more active in shots, while Strasbourg leads on the scoreboard. Recent pressure is from Strasbourg, but the scoreline doesn't fully reflect the match dynamics. Historical data for the away handicap +1 shows a positive probability but a negative ROI, indicating weak historical confirmation. The model favors the away handicap +1 with a strong edge and expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet met, so this is a watch situation. Other top markets also suggest monitoring rather than betting now, emphasizing risk control in this close contest.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 42