Match Replay

Step 29 of 63. Current minute: 42 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	5	-	-	2.42	2.25	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	-	-	1.62	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.5	2.75	2.5	1.5	1.4	1.28	-	-	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.95	1.9

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.5% | EV +38.9% | ROI -7.1% | n=491 | k=1.52

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +5.5% | EV +19.1% | ROI -1.9% | n=491 | k=3.50

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +3.4% | EV +6.6% | ROI +2.6% | n=491 | k=1.90

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +4.2% | ROI +7.7% | n=491 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At 42 minutes, the score is tied 1-1 between Strasbourg and Toulouse in Ligue 1. The market increasingly favors the draw, with odds dropping 21% from pre-match levels, reflecting the close nature of the game. Toulouse has been more active in shots, but Strasbourg is applying pressure in the latest phase. Historical data for similar situations shows a moderate edge for the away handicap +1, but with a negative ROI and the historical check is weak. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 at 1.52 odds with a strong edge and expected value, yet the entry conditions are not fully met, so no bet is advised now. This is a watch situation, monitoring the match dynamics before committing to a stake, with risk control in mind.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 42