Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	4	2	7	-	-	2.42	2.2	-	-
Away	1	0	0	12	5	7	3	-	-	-	1.7	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.75	1.73	3.6	1.25	2	1.17	-	-	-	-	1.9	1.95	6	1.12

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +29.9% | EV +45.6% | ROI +42.7% | n=362 | k=1.52

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +2.2% | ROI +26.6% | n=362 | k=1.95

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +4.1% | EV +19.7% | ROI -31.8% | n=362 | k=4.75

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.0% | EV -2.1% | ROI -35.9% | n=362 | k=2.00

AI-agent: At the 77th minute with the score tied at 1-1 between Strasbourg and Toulouse, the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 51% from pre-match levels. Toulouse shows more activity in shots and overall play, but neither side exerts sustained pressure recently. Historical data strongly supports an away handicap +1 bet with a 97.5% win rate and a 42.7% ROI, and the model indicates a 29.9% edge and 45.6% expected value on this bet. However, the entry criteria based on current match tempo and score are not fully met, so this remains a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Other top markets also suggest monitoring rather than betting, emphasizing risk control in this balanced game.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 77