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France | Ligue 1 | Strasbourg - Toulouse | 03.05.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 26'   —   Strasbourg 1:0 Toulouse
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 - - 2.67 1.35 - -
Away 0 0 0 3 2 1 1 - - - 3.1 1.45 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.8 3.6 4.33 1.2 1.25 1.91 - - 1.1 7 1.5 2.62 2.5 1.53
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.8% | EV +2.7% | ROI -0.1% | n=1435 | k=1.53
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +3.0% | ROI +2.3% | n=1435 | k=2.62
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.9% | EV -2.7% | ROI NA | n=1435 | k=1.45
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.5% | EV -12.0% | ROI NA | n=1435 | k=2.67
AI-agent: At 26 minutes into the Strasbourg vs Toulouse match, Strasbourg leads 1-0. The market favors the home side, with odds dropping by 40% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Although Toulouse has been more active in shots, there is no sustained pressure from either side recently. Historical data suggests a high probability (85.6%) for under 3.5 goals, but the model's edge at +1.8% is below the threshold for opening a bet. The top-4 markets recommend watching the under 3.5 goals and under 2.5 goals options, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity. Given the moderate model advantage and weak historical confirmation, caution is advised before placing bets.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 26