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France | Ligue 1 | Strasbourg - Toulouse | 03.05.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 31'   —   Strasbourg 1:0 Toulouse
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 - - 2.5 2.25 - -
Away 0 0 0 3 2 1 1 - - - 1.62 1.5 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.73 3.6 4.75 1.17 1.25 2 - - 1.1 7 1.5 2.62 2.5 1.53
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.8% | EV +2.7% | ROI +6.9% | n=492 | k=1.53
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +3.0% | ROI +10.4% | n=492 | k=2.62
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.7% | ROI -11.3% | n=492 | k=1.50
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -6.2% | EV -15.5% | ROI +6.8% | n=492 | k=2.50
AI-agent: At 31 minutes into the Strasbourg vs Toulouse match, Strasbourg leads 1-0. The market shows increased confidence in the home side, with odds dropping 42% from pre-match levels considering the current score. Despite the scoreline, Toulouse has been more active in shots, and no sustained pressure from either side is evident recently. Historical data supports a bet on under 3.5 goals with a 69.7% probability and a positive ROI of 6.9%, but the model's edge of +1.8% is below the threshold to open a bet. The top markets suggest watching under 3.5 goals or under 2.5 goals, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm betting opportunity. The historical check is solid, but caution is advised as the expected value is moderate and the match remains balanced in tempo and chances.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 31