Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	8	4	4	0	-	-	-	2.67	2.15	1.57
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	5	-	2.35	1.68	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
8.5	4.5	1.36	3	1.18	1.07	-	-	1.12	6	1.6	2.3	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +7.2% | EV +11.3% | ROI +31.2% | n=216 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.7% | EV +23.0% | ROI +55.7% | n=216 | k=2.15

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +5.9% | EV +17.8% | ROI +74.8% | n=216 | k=3.00

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.3% | EV +1.2% | ROI +58.5% | n=216 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At 42 minutes into the FC Koln vs Leverkusen Bundesliga match, Leverkusen leads 1-0. Market pressure favors the visitors, with odds dropping 29% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. Despite the scoreline, FC Koln has been more active in shots and overall play, showing stronger tempo than in previous meetings. Historical data supports a bet on FC Koln with Asian Handicap +1.5, showing an 87.5% win rate and 31.2% ROI over 216 matches. The model confirms this bet with a positive edge of 7.2% and expected value of 11.3%, though no new position is opened as it may already be covered. The top recommendation is to bet on FC Koln +1.5 with careful risk management, while other options like AH +1, Double Chance 1X, and Draw are on watch for potential opportunities. This is a favorable but monitored situation rather than a guaranteed entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388580 | minute: 42