Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	8	4	4	0	-	-	-	2.67	2.15	1.52
Away	1	0	0	6	2	4	5	-	2.42	1.68	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
10	4.5	1.33	3.25	1.18	1.06	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.88	1.98	3.75	1.28

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +7.0% | EV +10.6% | ROI +5.5% | n=107 | k=1.52

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.0% | EV +23.6% | ROI +19.7% | n=107 | k=2.15

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +6.4% | EV +20.8% | ROI +42.8% | n=107 | k=3.25

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.7% | ROI +12.6% | n=107 | k=1.98

AI-agent: At 51 minutes in the FC Koln vs Leverkusen match, Leverkusen leads 1-0 despite Koln showing more attacking activity and shots. Market pressure favors the visitors with odds dropping 45% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. Historical data supports a +1.5 handicap on Koln with a 69.2% success rate and positive ROI, confirmed by the model with a 7% edge and 10.6% expected value. The best bet is AH_HOME+1.5 at 1.52 odds, though no new position is opened as it may already be covered. Other markets like AH_HOME+1 and Double Chance 1X are on watch for potential opportunities but require caution. This is a monitored situation rather than a mandatory bet, balancing potential value with risk control.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388580 | minute: 51