Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	8	4	4	0	-	-	-	2.67	2.15	1.55
Away	1	0	0	6	2	4	5	-	2.38	1.68	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
9.5	4.5	1.36	3	1.18	1.06	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.73	2.08	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +7.0% | EV +10.8% | ROI +7.6% | n=108 | k=1.55

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.7% | EV +23.0% | ROI +20.6% | n=108 | k=2.15

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +4.8% | EV +14.5% | ROI +33.3% | n=108 | k=3.00

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.7% | EV +3.0% | ROI +29.2% | n=108 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At 49 minutes, Leverkusen leads 1-0 against FC Koln, though the market pressure has shifted towards the home side with the odds for Koln's +1.5 Asian Handicap dropping by 29% from pre-match levels. Despite Leverkusen's lead, Koln has been more active in shots and overall play, especially compared to their last meeting where the score was 0-0 at this stage. Historical data supports a 69.4% success rate for the +1.5 handicap on Koln with a positive ROI of 7.6%, and the model confirms an edge of +7.0% with an expected value of +10.8%. The best betting opportunity currently is on Koln +1.5 AH at odds of 1.55, though no new position is opened as this bet is already covered in the portfolio. Other markets like Koln +1 AH, Double Chance 1X, and Draw are on watch with promising edges but are not recommended for immediate bets. This situation calls for monitoring with a controlled risk approach rather than aggressive entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388580 | minute: 49