Match Replay

Step 31 of 53. Current minute: 47 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	3	2.25	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	1	6	3	-	-	-	2.15	1.62	1.38

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.5	3.75	7.5	1.08	1.25	2.5	-	-	1.28	3.75	2.25	1.62	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.0% | ROI -3.3% | n=472 | k=1.62

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.3% | EV +6.0% | ROI -1.0% | n=472 | k=1.38

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.6% | EV -2.6% | ROI -1.5% | n=472 | k=1.62

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.4% | EV -5.9% | ROI -1.5% | n=472 | k=2.50

AI-agent: At 47 minutes, Heidenheim leads 1-0 against St Pauli, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 32% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. St Pauli has shown more activity recently, while Heidenheim is below their usual level. Historical data for similar situations suggests a positive edge on the away handicap +1.5, but the historical check is weak and the ROI is negative. The model signals a potential bet on AH_AWAY+1.5 with an edge of +4.3% and EV +6.0%, yet the entry rule is not confirmed due to the weak historical validation. The top-4 market advises watching AH_AWAY+1 and AH_AWAY+1.5 with small positive edges but no firm bet recommendation. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry, and caution is advised given the current game dynamics and historical uncertainty.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 47