Match Replay

Step 32 of 53. Current minute: 49 .

Continue Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 32 of 53 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	3	2.2	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	1	6	3	-	-	-	2.15	1.65	1.38

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.5	3.75	8	1.08	1.25	2.5	-	-	1.28	3.75	2.25	1.62	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.0% | EV +3.3% | ROI -3.3% | n=470 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.1% | EV +7.1% | ROI -1.1% | n=470 | k=1.38

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.6% | EV -2.6% | ROI +0.6% | n=470 | k=1.62

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -3.0% | EV -7.4% | ROI -4.8% | n=470 | k=2.50

AI-agent: At 49 minutes, Heidenheim leads 1-0 against St Pauli, with market pressure favoring the home side as odds dropped 32% from pre-match levels. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team, and the recent phase shows guest pressure. Historically, the away handicap +1.5 has a 71.9% win rate but a negative ROI of -1.1%, indicating weak historical confirmation. Our model signals a +1.5 away handicap with a 5.1% edge and 7.1% expected value, yet the entry rule is not confirmed due to the historical check failure. The top-4 markets suggest watching the +1 and +1.5 away handicaps with moderate edges but advise against betting on under 2.5 goals or double chance for the away team. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, and risk control is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 49