Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	3	2.25	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	1	6	3	-	-	-	2.15	1.62	1.38

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.5	3.75	8	1.08	1.25	2.5	-	-	1.28	3.75	2.3	1.6	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +6.4% | EV +8.8% | ROI +0.7% | n=459 | k=1.38

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.4% | EV +3.9% | ROI -3.6% | n=459 | k=1.62

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.7% | EV -2.7% | ROI +5.3% | n=459 | k=1.60

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -3.0% | EV -7.4% | ROI -7.4% | n=459 | k=2.50

AI-agent: At the 52nd minute, Heidenheim leads St Pauli 1-0 in this Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the home side with odds dropping 32% from pre-match levels, yet shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. St Pauli has shown increased activity compared to their last meeting, while Heidenheim is underperforming relative to their usual level. Historical data supports a bet on the away handicap +1.5 with a 73.2% success rate and positive ROI, confirmed by the model with an edge of +6.4% and EV of +8.8%. However, no new bet is opened as this position is already covered. The top recommendation is to consider the away handicap +1.5 with risk management in place, while other markets suggest monitoring rather than entering new bets now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 52