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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	2.75	2.05	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	-	-	-	2.15	1.8	1.43

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.53	4	6	1.12	1.22	2.38	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.53	2.5	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +1.6% | EV +9.7% | ROI +9.7% | n=432 | k=6.00

2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.5% | ROI -5.9% | n=432 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.4% | EV -4.3% | ROI -0.9% | n=432 | k=1.80

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.4% | ROI -12.0% | n=432 | k=2.50

AI-agent: At 22 minutes into the match, Heidenheim leads St Pauli 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 30% drop in odds from pre-match levels, matching the current scoreline and shot activity. The game tempo is balanced without sustained pressure from either side. Historical data shows a weak but positive edge for an away win in similar situations, with a 9.7% ROI and a fair odds estimate around 5.47. The model suggests a potential value bet on St Pauli to win at odds of 6.00, offering a 1.6% edge and 9.7% expected value, but this does not meet the minimum threshold for a confident bet. According to the top markets, this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory entry, so monitoring the match further is advised before committing to a wager.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 22