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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	2.75	2.05	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	-	-	-	2.15	1.8	1.43

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.53	4	6.5	1.11	1.22	2.38	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.57	2.38	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.8% | EV -5.0% | ROI +0.2% | n=459 | k=1.80

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.6% | EV -3.2% | ROI -6.7% | n=459 | k=2.05

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.0% | ROI -13.1% | n=459 | k=2.38

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -5.3% | EV -8.4% | ROI -0.4% | n=459 | k=1.57

AI-agent: At 24 minutes, Heidenheim leads St Pauli 1-0 in a closely contested Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected in a 30% drop in odds from pre-match levels, with Heidenheim showing more activity in shots. The match tempo is balanced without sustained pressure from either side recently, and the score aligns well with the match flow and past encounters. Historical data shows a slight edge for an away win in similar situations, supported by a solid sample and positive ROI, but the current model edge of +1.7% is below the threshold to open a bet. Top-4 market indicators suggest no clear value bets at this stage, so this is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry. Caution is advised given the moderate model advantage and market signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 24