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Germany | Bundesliga | Heidenheim - St Pauli | 25.04.2026 | 18:30:00 | LIVE 29'   —   Heidenheim 1:0 St Pauli
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 4 2 2 1 - 2.75 2.05 1.68 - -
Away 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 - - - 2.15 1.8 1.43
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.53 4 6.5 1.11 1.22 2.38 - - 1.12 6 1.6 2.3 2.75 1.44
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.6% | EV -1.3% | ROI -6.4% | n=484 | k=2.30
2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.3% | EV -4.2% | ROI -0.7% | n=484 | k=1.80
3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.0% | EV -4.1% | ROI -5.6% | n=484 | k=2.05
4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.1% | EV -1.6% | ROI +0.2% | n=484 | k=1.44
AI-agent: At 29 minutes, Heidenheim leads 1-0 against St Pauli in a closely contested Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 30% from pre-match levels, reflecting their slight dominance in shots, though no sustained pressure is evident recently. Historical data shows a weak but positive edge for an away win, with a 7.4% ROI and a fair odds estimate around 6.05, but the model's edge at +1.7% is below the threshold to place a bet. Top-4 markets suggest no bet opportunities currently, indicating this is a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry. Caution is advised given the moderate tempo and balanced play so far.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 29