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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	2.85	2.05	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	2	-	-	-	2.15	1.8	1.4

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.5	4	6.5	1.11	1.22	2.5	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.65	2.2	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.4% | EV -2.6% | ROI +0.3% | n=490 | k=1.80

2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -1.9% | EV -4.6% | ROI +0.5% | n=490 | k=2.50

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.6% | ROI -9.3% | n=490 | k=2.20

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.9% | EV -5.9% | ROI -6.8% | n=490 | k=2.05

AI-agent: At the 30th minute, Heidenheim leads 1-0 against St Pauli in a closely contested Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 32% from pre-match levels, reflecting their slight dominance in shots. However, there is no sustained pressure from either team recently, and the tempo is slower compared to their last encounter. Historical data shows a weak advantage for the away team in similar situations, with a positive ROI and fair odds around 6.0. The model suggests a potential value bet on an away win at 6.50 odds with a modest edge of +1.5%, but this does not meet the minimum threshold for a confident bet. Top-4 markets also indicate no clear betting opportunity, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm recommendation. Caution is advised due to the current match dynamics and risk factors.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 30