Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	7	5	2	1	-	2.05	1.55	2.75	1.57	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	-	-	2.35	1.43	2.38	1.75

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	5.5	7	1.1	1.14	3	-	-	-	-	1.06	10	1.3	3.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.7% | EV +43.6% | ROI +47.9% | n=6 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.9% | EV +1.4% | ROI +3.3% | n=6 | k=1.55

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.6% | EV -2.7% | ROI -41.7% | n=6 | k=1.75

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -4.4% | EV -9.0% | ROI +36.7% | n=6 | k=2.05

AI-agent: At 35 minutes into the Mainz vs Bayern Munich Bundesliga match, Mainz leads 2-0 and is showing strong market support with odds dropping 63% from pre-match levels. Despite Bayern being pre-match favorites, Mainz dominates shots and pressure, reflecting the current scoreline. Historical data for similar situations is limited and weak, with only 6 matches analyzed, so the confidence in the handicap +1 for Mainz is not fully confirmed. The model suggests a positive edge and expected value on Mainz +1 handicap at odds 1.57, but entry conditions based on score and match tempo are not yet met. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, and risk control is advised given the incomplete confirmation and limited historical sample.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388583 | minute: 35