Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	7	5	2	1	-	2.02	1.5	2.75	1.57	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	-	-	2.35	1.43	2.5	1.82

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.33	5.5	7.5	1.08	1.14	3.25	-	-	-	-	1.06	10	1.33	3.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +28.0% | EV +44.0% | ROI +47.9% | n=6 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.1% | ROI -39.2% | n=6 | k=1.82

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.0% | ROI +0.0% | n=6 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -4.8% | EV -9.7% | ROI +35.0% | n=6 | k=2.02

AI-agent: At 37 minutes, Mainz leads Bayern Munich 2-0 in a match where the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 64% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Despite Bayern being pre-match favorites, Mainz has the upper hand in shots and momentum, showing more activity than in their previous meeting. Historical data for similar situations is limited and weak, with only six matches analyzed, so the confidence in the handicap +1 for Mainz is not fully confirmed. The model suggests a positive edge and expected value on Mainz +1 handicap at 1.57 odds, but entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not met yet. The top-4 market indicators recommend watching this bet rather than placing it now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory stake. Caution is advised given the current match dynamics and incomplete historical confirmation.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388583 | minute: 37