Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	14	3	11	8	-	2.3	1.82	1.24	1.19	-
Away	1	0	0	7	2	5	2	-	-	4.5	3.9	2.02	1.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.2	2.05	7.5	1.08	1.67	1.61	-	-	-	-	1.57	2.38	3.75	1.28

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +38.9% | EV +78.8% | ROI +75.5% | n=83 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +28.0% | EV +44.7% | ROI +48.4% | n=83 | k=1.60

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +10.0% | EV +16.1% | ROI +30.4% | n=83 | k=1.61

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -3.6% | ROI +23.0% | n=83 | k=2.38

AI-agent: At 72 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Stuttgart and Werder Bremen, the market increasingly favors a draw, reflected by a 54% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Stuttgart, the pre-match favorite, maintains pressure and leads in shots, showing more activity in the recent phase. Historical data supports a strong advantage for the away team with +1 Asian Handicap, boasting a 91.8% win rate and 75.5% ROI over 83 matches. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 as the best value with a 38.9% edge and 78.8% expected value, but the entry criteria based on current score, tempo, and stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, with risk control recommended given the balanced score and game dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388585 | minute: 72