Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	15	3	12	11	-	2.3	1.82	1.3	1.19	-
Away	1	0	0	8	3	5	2	-	-	4.5	3.45	2.02	1.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.62	1.8	7.5	1.08	1.91	1.44	-	-	-	-	1.82	2.02	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.0% | EV +81.0% | ROI +87.2% | n=87 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +28.3% | EV +45.3% | ROI +56.3% | n=87 | k=1.60

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.7% | EV +11.1% | ROI +26.1% | n=87 | k=1.44

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -2.4% | ROI +39.7% | n=87 | k=2.02

AI-agent: At the 81st minute with the score tied at 1-1 between Stuttgart and Werder Bremen, the market strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 60% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, and recent play shows no sustained pressure. The match pace and scoreline align with previous encounters, though historical data is limited. The historical record for an away handicap +1 shows a strong 97.4% win rate and excellent ROI, suggesting value. However, the model's entry conditions are not met yet, so this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. The top recommended option is the away handicap +1 at odds of 2.02, with a significant edge and expected value, but risk control advises monitoring until clearer signals emerge.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388585 | minute: 81