Match Replay

Step 6 of 66. Current minute: 3 .

Continue Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 6 of 66 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.75	1.5	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.5	1.43	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.75	3.75	1.91	1.8	1.25	1.25	1.03	15	1.17	5	1.57	2.38	2.3	1.61

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +7.9% | EV +29.7% | ROI +32.3% | n=706 | k=3.75

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +3.4% | EV +6.1% | ROI +13.5% | n=706 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.2% | EV +3.3% | ROI +12.4% | n=706 | k=1.50

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +1.8% | ROI +2.0% | n=706 | k=1.61

AI-agent: At 3 minutes into the M'gladbach vs Dortmund match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market signals are neutral without strong odds drops from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced pressure and no clear dominance in shots. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting on 19.12.2025, which ended 2-0 to M'gladbach. Historical data from 706 similar matches favors a home win with a 35.3% probability and a positive ROI of 32.3%, supporting a fair odds estimate around 2.84. The model identifies a potential value bet on M'gladbach to win at 3.75 odds with an edge of +7.9% and expected value near +29.7%, but entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match tempo. Top-4 markets suggest watching the home win and related bets as promising but advise monitoring rather than immediate betting to manage risk effectively.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388589 | minute: 3