Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	7	2	5	0	-	-	2.75	1.52	1.45	-
Away	1	0	0	13	4	9	3	-	-	2.67	2.55	1.43	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.33	1.44	7.5	1.08	2.62	1.2	-	-	-	-	2.7	1.48	15	1.03

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.1% | EV +37.9% | ROI +33.8% | n=91 | k=1.45

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.7% | EV +35.1% | ROI +35.2% | n=91 | k=1.42

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +1.7% | ROI +3.7% | n=91 | k=1.48

4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +0.9% | EV +2.4% | ROI -22.1% | n=91 | k=2.62

AI-agent: At the 82nd minute with the score tied at 1-1, the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 60% from pre-match levels. The game has been balanced, though Wolfsburg has been more active in shots, and neither side is maintaining sustained pressure recently. Historical data supports a strong edge for a +1 handicap on Freiburg, showing a 96.2% win rate and a 33.8% ROI over 91 similar matches. The model identifies this bet as promising with a 26.1% edge and 37.9% expected value, but the entry conditions based on current tempo and score are not fully met, so no bet is recommended now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry, emphasizing cautious risk management given the match dynamics and historical context.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388591 | minute: 82