Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.02	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.82	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.75	3.2	2.5	1.5	1.33	1.4	1.07	9	1.36	3.2	2.1	1.7	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.5% | ROI -10.9% | n=2604 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +1.2% | EV +1.6% | ROI -6.1% | n=2604 | k=1.33

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -4.0% | ROI +0.6% | n=2604 | k=2.10

4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.0% | ROI -4.2% | n=2604 | k=2.75

AI-agent: At 4 minutes into the St Pauli vs Mainz Bundesliga match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. The market shows balanced pressure without clear dominance or significant odds drop from pre-match levels. Shot data does not confirm control by either side, and both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter, which also ended 0-0. Historical data suggests a 70.5% chance that one team will win, but the model's expected value and edge are below the threshold for a confident bet. The top markets recommend watching the double chance (12) and away win options, but no strong betting opportunity is confirmed yet. This is a monitoring phase rather than a call for immediate action, emphasizing risk control and patience.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 4