Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.85	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.75	3.2	2.6	1.44	1.33	1.4	1.08	8	1.4	3	2.2	1.65	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +0.8% | EV +2.0% | ROI -6.8% | n=2524 | k=2.60

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.6% | ROI -4.7% | n=2524 | k=2.75

3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.1% | ROI -6.0% | n=2524 | k=1.33

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.6% | EV -3.6% | ROI +3.5% | n=2524 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At 5 minutes into the St Pauli vs Mainz match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. The market shows balanced pressure without a clear signal or strong odds drop from pre-match levels. Shot data does not confirm dominance by either side, and both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter, which also ended 0-0. Historical data suggests a 70.5% chance one team will win, but the negative ROI of -6.0% and failed historical check advise caution. The model indicates a slight edge for a no-draw outcome with odds around 1.33, but this edge is below the threshold for placing a bet. Top-4 markets recommend watching the away or home win options with small positive edges but no confident bet opportunity yet. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting entry, emphasizing risk control and patience.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 5