Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	4	-	-	-	2.05	1.85	3.7
Away	2	0	0	13	5	8	6	-	1.26	2	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	17	1.03	15	1.02	1	-	-	-	-	1.61	2.3	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +34.8% | EV +69.6% | ROI +72.9% | n=170 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.4% | EV +5.1% | ROI -23.8% | n=170 | k=3.70

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.2% | EV -7.3% | ROI +10.9% | n=170 | k=2.30

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.2% | EV -3.6% | ROI -16.4% | n=170 | k=1.61

AI-agent: At the 65th minute, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-0 in a Bundesliga match. The market strongly favors Mainz, with odds dropping by 59% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current dominance and more active attacking play. Historical data supports a bet on Mainz with a -1 handicap, showing a 92.5% win rate and a high ROI of 72.9%. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +34.8% and expected value of +69.6%, although no new bet is opened since this position is already held. This is the best betting opportunity here, but risk should be managed carefully. Other markets suggest watching or no bet, indicating a monitoring phase rather than mandatory entries.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 65