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Match Replay

Step 51 of 72. Current minute: 66 .
Germany | Bundesliga | St Pauli - Mainz | 03.05.2026 | 18:30:00 | LIVE 66'   —   St Pauli 0:2 Mainz
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 0 4 4 - - - 2.05 1.85 3.9
Away 2 0 0 13 5 8 6 - 1.24 2 1.8 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
51 17 1.02 17 1.02 1 - - - - 1.67 2.2 4.33 1.22
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +34.9% | EV +69.9% | ROI +73.3% | n=172 | k=2.00
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.9% | EV +7.3% | ROI -20.6% | n=172 | k=3.90
3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.3% | EV -7.3% | ROI +15.1% | n=172 | k=2.20
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.1% | EV -3.6% | ROI -20.6% | n=172 | k=1.67
AI-agent: At 66 minutes, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-0 with no red cards. The market strongly favors Mainz, with odds dropping 59% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current dominance and shot advantage. Historical data supports a bet on Mainz with a -1 handicap, showing a 92.6% win rate and a high ROI of 73.3%. The model confirms this with a significant edge and expected value, though no new bet is advised as the position is already covered. This is the best opportunity to back Mainz with controlled risk, while other markets suggest monitoring or no bet due to less favorable conditions.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 66