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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	3	-	-	-	2.05	1.85	2.75
Away	2	0	0	9	3	6	5	-	1.43	2	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
29	10	1.07	9	1.06	1.01	-	-	-	-	1.28	3.75	2.15	1.68

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.3% | EV +62.7% | ROI +52.0% | n=175 | k=2.00

2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -2.7% | EV -4.5% | ROI -8.1% | n=175 | k=1.68

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.0% | EV -2.8% | ROI -10.4% | n=175 | k=2.75

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -7.1% | ROI +0.7% | n=175 | k=3.75

AI-agent: At 45 minutes, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-0 in a match where the market strongly favors the away side, with odds dropping 58% from pre-match levels reflecting the current score. Mainz has been more active in shots and applying pressure, especially in the recent phase, aligning with the scoreline. Historical data supports a bet on Mainz with a -1 handicap, showing an 81.4% win rate and a 52% ROI over 175 similar matches. The model confirms this with a significant edge and expected value, though no new bet is opened as the position is already held or covered. This is a recommended bet with controlled risk based on strong market and historical signals. Other markets like under 3.5 goals or home handicap do not show value currently. Overall, this is a solid opportunity to back Mainz with a -1 handicap, considering the match dynamics and statistical edge.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 45